Brazil market regime
Edition no. 169 · May 5, 2008 · reconstructed essentials
The Perene Risk Index advanced to 100. The environment stays anchored to an appetite extreme.
Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.
- ●A year agoDecember 31, 2006Ibovespa that day45,383 ptswhat happened in 6 months55,932 pts (+23%)Reread the edition of December 31, 2006 →
- ○Five years agoMay 2003Ibovespa 13,229 → 19,961 pts (+51% in 6m) · reread →
- ○First time in the archiveDecember 2000Ibovespa 15,425 → 14,048 pts (-9% in 6m) · reread →
In 19 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 68% of the time — median +4.5% — not always upward. Explore the archive →
Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.
Observed distribution, not a forecast.
- Ibovespa: 70,175 pts
The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.
Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · See every extreme like this one in the Atlas →
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