Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 594 · May 31, 2002 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The session shifted the risk reading. The close took the Perene Index to 49.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state50/100
how to read?
The market on the neutral plain.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoMay 31, 2001
    Ibovespa that day14,650 pts
    what happened in 6 months13,147 pts (-10%)
    Reread the edition of May 31, 2001 →
  2. ○First time in the archiveMarch 2000
    Ibovespa 17,820 → 15,928 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 6 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 33% of the time — median -5.7% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. January 31, 2016Perene 50 · defensive
  2. May 31, 2015Perene 50 · defensive
  3. January 31, 2018Perene 50 · risk-on
  4. March 31, 2002Perene 50
  5. April 30, 2017Perene 49 · risk-on
  6. January 31, 2024Perene 51 · neutral
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 12,861 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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