Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition of August 31, 2002 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

After several flat days, the day registered movement. The Perene Index rose to 72. In the sector breakdown, utilities lost relative ground.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state72/100
how to read?
Risk above the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoOctober 31, 2001
    Ibovespa that day11,365 pts
    what happened in 6 months12,130 pts (+7%)
    Reread the edition of October 31, 2001 →
  2. ○First time in the archiveJune 2000
    Ibovespa 16,728 → 16,599 pts (-1% in 6m) · reread →

In 7 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 14% of the time — median -5.2% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. February 28, 2017Perene 72 · neutral
  2. July 31, 2020Perene 72 · risk-on
  3. October 31, 2001Perene 73
  4. August 31, 2004Perene 71
  5. June 30, 2011Perene 73 · risk-on
  6. March 31, 2006Perene 71
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 10,382 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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