Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a neutral regime.

Edition of February 28, 2017 · Regime neutro · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The market pulled back to neutral ground. Today, the Perene Index closed at 67.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state72/100Today ▾ -23
Ânima · structuralthe market’s prevailing risk appetite53/100Today ▾ -14
how to read?
The market on the neutral plain.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoFebruary 29, 2016
    Ibovespa that day42,794 pts
    what happened in 6 months57,716 pts (+35%)
    Reread the edition of February 29, 2016 →
  2. ○Five years agoMarch 2012
    Ibovespa 65,216 → 59,222 pts (-9% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveJune 2000
    Ibovespa 16,728 → 16,599 pts (-1% in 6m) · reread →

In 50 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 66% of the time — median +6.7% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. July 31, 2020Perene 72 · risk-on
  2. August 31, 2002Perene 72
  3. October 31, 2001Perene 73
  4. August 31, 2004Perene 71
  5. June 30, 2011Perene 73 · risk-on
  6. March 31, 2006Perene 71
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is neutral and the intermarket neutral.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 66,662 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Regime neutro · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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