Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 1,829 · May 18, 2007 · reconstructed essentials

After several flat days, the day registered movement. The Perene Index rose to 96.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state96/100Today ▾ -2
how to read?
History favored gains — without unanimity.
Advertisement
The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●Five years agoFebruary 28, 2002
    Ibovespa that day14,033 pts
    what happened in 6 months10,455 pts (-25%)
    Reread the edition of February 28, 2002 →
  2. ○First time in the archiveDecember 2000
    Ibovespa 15,425 → 14,048 pts (-9% in 6m) · reread →

In 18 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 72% of the time — median +7.2% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. December 31, 2020Perene 96 · risk-on
  2. March 31, 2003Perene 95
  3. November 30, 2002Perene 95
  4. February 29, 2012Perene 97 · risk-on
  5. April 30, 2003Perene 95
  6. May 31, 2003Perene 94
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 52,078 pts
Advertisement
For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · See every extreme like this one in the Atlas →

← previous edition · 2007-05-16all editions · Atlas2007-05-31 · next edition →