Brazil market regime

Edition no. 1,838 · May 31, 2007 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The market pulled back to neutral ground. The Perene Index settled at 59 by day's end.

The Pulse

Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state62/100

how to read?

The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

●A year agoJune 30, 2006
Ibovespa that day36,631 pts
what happened in 6 months44,020 pts (+20%)
Reread the edition of June 30, 2006 →
○Five years agoAugust 2002
Ibovespa 10,378 → 10,615 pts (+2% in 6m) · reread →
○First time in the archiveApril 2000
Ibovespa 15,524 → 14,891 pts (-4% in 6m) · reread →

In 20 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 70% of the time — median +1.6% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

Ibovespa: 52,268 pts

For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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