Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a risk-on regime.

Edition no. 2,762 · February 28, 2011 · Regime risk_on · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

Another day of pressure. The index reads 10 — capitulation territory.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state15/100
how to read?
History favored gains — without unanimity.
Advertisement
The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoFebruary 28, 2010
    Ibovespa that day67,228 pts
    what happened in 6 months64,261 pts (-4%)
    Reread the edition of February 28, 2010 →
  2. ○Five years agoMay 2006
    Ibovespa 36,530 → 41,327 pts (+13% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveSeptember 2000
    Ibovespa 15,559 → 14,719 pts (-5% in 6m) · reread →

In 28 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 64% of the time — median +4% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. January 31, 2010Perene 15
  2. December 31, 2024Perene 15 · defensive
  3. July 31, 2011Perene 15 · risk-on
  4. July 31, 2007Perene 15
  5. May 31, 2018Perene 15 · neutral
  6. February 28, 2010Perene 15
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is neutral and the intermarket moderate risk-off.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 67,383 pts
Advertisement
For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Edition no. 2,762 · Regime risk_on · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Every risk-on stretch in the Observatory →

all editions · Observatory