Brazil market regime
Edition no. 291 · June 17, 2014 · reconstructed essentials
The market returned to an appetite extreme. The close took the Perene Index to 100.
Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.
- ●A year agoNovember 30, 2013Ibovespa that day51,245 ptsthe archive suggested-11% in 6m hist. medianwhat happened in 6 months54,273 pts (+6%)Reread the edition of November 30, 2013 →
- ○Five years agoMay 2009Ibovespa 54,486 → 68,615 pts (+26% in 6m) · reread →
- ○First time in the archiveDecember 2000Ibovespa 15,425 → 14,048 pts (-9% in 6m) · reread →
In 36 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 61% of the time — median +4.5% — not always upward. Explore the archive →
Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.
Observed distribution, not a forecast.
- Ibovespa: 54,300 pts
The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.
Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · See every extreme like this one in the Atlas →
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