Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a neutral regime.

Edition no. 4,329 · June 30, 2017 · Regime neutro · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The market pulled back to defensive ground. The index reads 30 — risk-off.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state35/100Today ▲ +23
Ânima · structuralthe market’s prevailing risk appetite13/100Today ▾ -14
how to read?
The market on the neutral plain.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoAugust 31, 2016
    Ibovespa that day57,901 pts
    the archive suggested+36% in 6m hist. median
    what happened in 6 months65,742 pts (+14%)
    Reread the edition of August 31, 2016 →
  2. ○Five years agoJuly 2012
    Ibovespa 56,097 → 58,951 pts (+5% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveJanuary 2000
    Ibovespa 16,388 → 16,290 pts (-1% in 6m) · reread →

In 51 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 65% of the time — median +6.7% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. November 30, 2007Perene 35
  2. February 29, 2000Perene 35
  3. March 31, 2010Perene 36
  4. August 31, 2008Perene 36
  5. January 31, 2000Perene 33
  6. October 31, 2009Perene 33
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is neutral and the intermarket moderate risk-on.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 62,900 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Edition no. 4,329 · Regime neutro · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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