Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a neutral regime.

Edition no. 4,124 · August 31, 2016 · Regime neutro · for 31 days · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The risk picture shifted over the session. Today, the Perene Index closed at 43.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state45/100Today ▾ -47
Ânima · structuralthe market’s prevailing risk appetite73/100Today ▾ -2
how to read?
Risk below the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoSeptember 30, 2015
    Ibovespa that day45,059 pts
    the archive suggested-11% in 6m hist. median
    what happened in 6 months50,293 pts (+12%)
    Reread the edition of September 30, 2015 →
  2. ○Five years agoSeptember 2011
    Ibovespa 52,324 → 62,923 pts (+20% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveMarch 2000
    Ibovespa 17,820 → 15,928 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 40 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 63% of the time — median +6.6% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. May 31, 2010Perene 45 · broad risk-on
  2. August 31, 2001Perene 45
  3. September 30, 2018Perene 45 · neutral
  4. August 31, 2025Perene 45 · defensive
  5. August 31, 2010Perene 45 · risk-on
  6. May 31, 2020Perene 44 · risk-on
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is neutral and the intermarket neutral.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 57,901 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Edition no. 4,124 · Regime neutro · for 31 days · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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