Brazil market regime
Edition no. 381 · January 2, 2019 · reconstructed essentials
A lighter day on the reading. The Perene Index rose to 100.
Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.
- ●A year agoDecember 31, 2017Ibovespa that day77,891 ptsthe archive suggested+5% in 6m hist. medianwhat happened in 6 months74,553 pts (-4%)Reread the edition of December 31, 2017 →
- ○Five years agoNovember 2013Ibovespa 51,245 → 54,273 pts (+6% in 6m) · reread →
- ○First time in the archiveDecember 2000Ibovespa 15,425 → 14,048 pts (-9% in 6m) · reread →
In 46 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 65% of the time — median +4.7% — not always upward. Explore the archive →
Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.
Observed distribution, not a forecast.
- Ibovespa: 91,012 pts
The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.
Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · See every extreme like this one in the Atlas →
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