Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 266 · January 29, 2001 · reconstructed essentials

The Perene Index closed at 99. The environment stays anchored to an appetite extreme.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state99/100Today -1
how to read?
Advertisement
The Archive Remembers

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. First time in the archiveDecember 31, 2000
    Ibovespa that day15,425 pts
    what happened in 6 months14,048 pts (-9%)
    Reread the edition of December 31, 2000 →

In 3 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 33% of the time — median -3.6% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. May 31, 2009Perene 99
  2. May 31, 2011Perene 99 · risk-on
  3. January 31, 2001Perene 98
  4. December 31, 2000Perene 100
  5. June 30, 2020Perene 100 · risk-on
  6. March 31, 2022Perene 100 · defensive
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 17,883 pts
Advertisement
For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · See every extreme like this one in the Atlas →

← previous edition · 2001-01-19all editions · Atlas2001-01-31 · next edition →