Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a risk-on regime.

Edition no. 2,824 · May 31, 2011 · Regime risk_on · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

Over the session, utilities led. The Perene Index rose to 82.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state99/100
how to read?
The market on the neutral plain.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoJuly 31, 2010
    Ibovespa that day68,517 pts
    what happened in 6 months66,765 pts (-3%)
    Reread the edition of July 31, 2010 →
  2. ○Five years agoDecember 2006
    Ibovespa 45,383 → 55,932 pts (+23% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveDecember 2000
    Ibovespa 15,425 → 14,048 pts (-9% in 6m) · reread →

In 30 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 70% of the time — median +11.7% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. May 31, 2009Perene 99
  2. January 31, 2001Perene 98
  3. December 31, 2000Perene 100
  4. June 30, 2020Perene 100 · risk-on
  5. March 31, 2022Perene 100 · defensive
  6. December 31, 2018Perene 100 · risk-on
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is neutral and the intermarket moderate risk-off.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 64,620 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Edition no. 2,824 · Regime risk_on · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · See every extreme like this one in the Observatory →

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