Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 268 · January 31, 2001 · reconstructed essentials

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

After several flat days, the day registered movement. The index reads 97 — stretched risk-on. Across asset classes, utilities led.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state98/100
how to read?
History favored declines — without unanimity.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●First time in the archiveDecember 31, 2000
    Ibovespa that day15,425 pts
    what happened in 6 months14,048 pts (-9%)
    Reread the edition of December 31, 2000 →

In 3 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 33% of the time — median -3.6% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. May 31, 2011Perene 99 · risk-on
  2. May 31, 2009Perene 99
  3. February 29, 2012Perene 97 · risk-on
  4. December 31, 2000Perene 100
  5. June 30, 2020Perene 100 · risk-on
  6. March 31, 2022Perene 100 · defensive
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 17,673 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · See every extreme like this one in the Atlas →

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