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Brazil market regime

Edition of June 30, 2001 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The market pulled back to neutral ground. The Perene Index marked 61 at the close.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state53/100
how to read?
Risk above the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoApril 30, 2000
    Ibovespa that day15,524 pts
    what happened in 6 months14,891 pts (-4%)
    Reread the edition of April 30, 2000 →
  2. ○First time in the archiveMarch 2000
    Ibovespa 17,820 → 15,928 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 7 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 43% of the time — median -5.2% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. July 31, 2024Perene 53 · defensive
  2. March 31, 2013Perene 53 · risk-on
  3. March 31, 2004Perene 54
  4. June 30, 2006Perene 54
  5. September 30, 2015Perene 52 · defensive
  6. April 30, 2000Perene 54
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 14,560 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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