Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 1,612 · June 30, 2006 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The risk reading moved to a different level. The Perene Index settled at 60 by day's end.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state54/100
how to read?
The market on the neutral plain.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoOctober 31, 2005
    Ibovespa that day30,194 pts
    what happened in 6 months41,515 pts (+38%)
    Reread the edition of October 31, 2005 →
  2. ○Five years agoJune 2001
    Ibovespa 14,555 → 14,168 pts (-3% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveMarch 2000
    Ibovespa 17,820 → 15,928 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 20 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 70% of the time — median +1.6% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. March 31, 2016Perene 54 · defensive
  2. December 31, 2015Perene 54 · defensive
  3. October 31, 2005Perene 54
  4. April 30, 2000Perene 54
  5. July 31, 2019Perene 54 · risk-on
  6. July 31, 2006Perene 54
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 36,631 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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