Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 803 · April 1, 2003 · reconstructed essentials

The risk reading moved to a different level. The day closes with the Perene Index at 99.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state99/100Today ▲ +4
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoFebruary 28, 2002
    Ibovespa that day14,033 pts
    what happened in 6 months10,455 pts (-25%)
    Reread the edition of February 28, 2002 →
  2. ○First time in the archiveDecember 2000
    Ibovespa 15,425 → 14,048 pts (-9% in 6m) · reread →

In 8 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 50% of the time — median -3.6% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. May 31, 2009Perene 99
  2. May 31, 2011Perene 99 · risk-on
  3. January 31, 2001Perene 98
  4. December 31, 2000Perene 100
  5. June 30, 2020Perene 100 · risk-on
  6. March 31, 2022Perene 100 · defensive
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 11,592 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · See every extreme like this one in the Atlas →

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