Brazil market regime
Edition no. 1,066 · April 20, 2004 · reconstructed essentials
The Perene Index returned to the low end of the scale, now at 0. The backdrop remains in capitulation territory.
Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.
- ●Five years agoSeptember 30, 2000Ibovespa that day15,559 ptswhat happened in 6 months14,719 pts (-5%)Reread the edition of September 30, 2000 →
In 12 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 50% of the time — median -3.5% — not always upward. Explore the archive →
Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.
Observed distribution, not a forecast.
- Ibovespa: 21,078 pts
The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.
Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · See every extreme like this one in the Atlas →
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