Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 1,078 · May 7, 2004 · reconstructed essentials

The market returned to an extreme, now capitulation territory. Today, the Perene Index closed at 1.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state1/100Today ▾ -1
how to read?
The other times split evenly.
Advertisement
The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●Five years agoSeptember 30, 2000
    Ibovespa that day15,559 pts
    what happened in 6 months14,719 pts (-5%)
    Reread the edition of September 30, 2000 →

In 12 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 50% of the time — median -3.5% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. April 30, 2004Perene 1
  2. September 30, 2002Perene 0
  3. May 31, 2024Perene 0 · defensive
  4. August 31, 2023Perene 0 · defensive
  5. June 30, 2022Perene 0 · defensive
  6. October 31, 2021Perene 0 · neutral
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 18,620 pts
Advertisement
For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · See every extreme like this one in the Atlas →

← previous edition · 2004-05-03all editions · Atlas2004-05-10 · next edition →