Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 1,073 · April 30, 2004 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The market returned to an extreme, now extreme risk-off. The day closes with the Perene Index at 0.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state1/100
how to read?
The other times split evenly.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●Five years agoSeptember 30, 2000
    Ibovespa that day15,559 pts
    what happened in 6 months14,719 pts (-5%)
    Reread the edition of September 30, 2000 →

In 11 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 55% of the time — median +9.4% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. September 30, 2002Perene 0
  2. May 31, 2024Perene 0 · defensive
  3. August 31, 2023Perene 0 · defensive
  4. June 30, 2022Perene 0 · defensive
  5. October 31, 2021Perene 0 · neutral
  6. July 31, 2021Perene 0 · risk-on
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 19,607 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · See every extreme like this one in the Observatory →

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