Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 679 · September 30, 2002 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The continuity of recent days gave way to movement. Today, the Perene Index closed at 1.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state0/100Today → AT THE FLOOR
how to read?
The other times split evenly.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●First time in the archiveSeptember 30, 2000
    Ibovespa that day15,559 pts
    what happened in 6 months14,719 pts (-5%)
    Reread the edition of September 30, 2000 →

In 9 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 56% of the time — median +9.4% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. May 31, 2024Perene 0 · defensive
  2. August 31, 2023Perene 0 · defensive
  3. June 30, 2022Perene 0 · defensive
  4. October 31, 2021Perene 0 · neutral
  5. July 31, 2021Perene 0 · risk-on
  6. October 31, 2020Perene 0 · risk-on
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 8,623 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · See every extreme like this one in the Observatory →

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