Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition of July 31, 2004 · reconstructed essentials

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The market returned to an extreme, now constructive territory. The index reads 74 — constructive territory.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state70/100
how to read?
Risk above the territory's midline.
Advertisement
The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●Five years agoJune 30, 2000
    Ibovespa that day16,728 pts
    what happened in 6 months16,599 pts (-1%)
    Reread the edition of June 30, 2000 →

In 11 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 36% of the time — median -3.6% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. December 31, 2004Perene 70
  2. October 31, 2006Perene 70
  3. March 31, 2006Perene 71
  4. August 31, 2011Perene 69 · risk-on
  5. January 31, 2025Perene 69 · defensive
  6. August 31, 2004Perene 71
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 22,337 pts
Advertisement
For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Atlas →

all editions · Atlas