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Brazil market regime

Edition of December 31, 2004 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The market returned to constructive ground. The Perene Index settled at 77 by day's end.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state70/100
how to read?
Risk above the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●Five years agoJune 30, 2000
    Ibovespa that day16,728 pts
    what happened in 6 months16,599 pts (-1%)
    Reread the edition of June 30, 2000 →

In 8 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 38% of the time — median -3.7% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. July 31, 2004Perene 70
  2. October 31, 2006Perene 70
  3. March 31, 2006Perene 71
  4. August 31, 2011Perene 69 · risk-on
  5. January 31, 2025Perene 69 · defensive
  6. August 31, 2004Perene 71
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 26,196 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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