Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a risk-on regime.

Edition no. 2,889 · August 31, 2011 · Regime risk_on · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The Perene Index recovered ground and closed at 71. The reading stays with risk appetite.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state69/100
how to read?
History favored gains — without unanimity.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoSeptember 30, 2010
    Ibovespa that day69,430 pts
    what happened in 6 months69,037 pts (-1%)
    Reread the edition of September 30, 2010 →
  2. ○Five years agoSeptember 2006
    Ibovespa 37,058 → 46,939 pts (+27% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveJune 2000
    Ibovespa 16,728 → 16,599 pts (-1% in 6m) · reread →

In 26 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 65% of the time — median +5.3% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. January 31, 2025Perene 69 · defensive
  2. June 30, 2010Perene 69 · risk-on
  3. February 28, 2009Perene 69
  4. June 30, 2004Perene 69
  5. October 31, 2025Perene 69 · defensive
  6. October 31, 2006Perene 70
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is neutral and the intermarket neutral.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 56,495 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Edition no. 2,889 · Regime risk_on · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Every risk-on stretch in the Observatory →

all editions · Observatory