Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 1,219 · November 30, 2004 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The Perene Risk Index advanced to 94.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state88/100
how to read?
History favored gains — without unanimity.
Advertisement
The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoNovember 30, 2003
    Ibovespa that day20,521 pts
    what happened in 6 months19,819 pts (-3%)
    Reread the edition of November 30, 2003 →
  2. ○Five years agoMay 2000
    Ibovespa 14,957 → 13,287 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 14 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 64% of the time — median +3.5% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. October 31, 2008Perene 88
  2. July 31, 2001Perene 88
  3. June 30, 2019Perene 88 · risk-on
  4. October 31, 2022Perene 88 · defensive
  5. October 31, 2010Perene 88 · risk-on
  6. July 31, 2009Perene 88
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 25,128 pts
Advertisement
For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

all editions · Observatory