Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a risk-on regime.

Edition of October 31, 2010 · Regime risk_on · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The Perene Index rose to the high end of the scale, now at 83. The backdrop remains in risk-on.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state88/100
how to read?
Risk above the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoJuly 31, 2009
    Ibovespa that day54,766 pts
    what happened in 6 months62,763 pts (+15%)
    Reread the edition of July 31, 2009 →
  2. ○Five years agoJuly 2005
    Ibovespa 26,298 → 38,485 pts (+46% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveMay 2000
    Ibovespa 14,957 → 13,287 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 21 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 62% of the time — median +5% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. October 31, 2008Perene 88
  2. November 30, 2004Perene 88
  3. July 31, 2001Perene 88
  4. June 30, 2019Perene 88 · risk-on
  5. October 31, 2022Perene 88 · defensive
  6. July 31, 2009Perene 88
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is neutral and the intermarket strong risk-on.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 70,673 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Regime risk_on · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Every risk-on stretch in the Observatory →

all editions · Observatory