Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 1,448 · October 31, 2005 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The session put the Perene Index back at 58. The environment stays anchored to neutral ground.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state54/100
how to read?
The market on the neutral plain.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoOctober 31, 2004
    Ibovespa that day23,273 pts
    what happened in 6 months25,465 pts (+9%)
    Reread the edition of October 31, 2004 →
  2. ○Five years agoAugust 2000
    Ibovespa 17,347 → 16,123 pts (-7% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveMarch 2000
    Ibovespa 17,820 → 15,928 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 17 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 65% of the time — median +6.5% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. March 31, 2016Perene 54 · defensive
  2. December 31, 2015Perene 54 · defensive
  3. April 30, 2000Perene 54
  4. July 31, 2019Perene 54 · risk-on
  5. July 31, 2006Perene 54
  6. March 31, 2017Perene 54 · neutral
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 30,194 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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