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Brazil market regime

Edition of October 31, 2004 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The risk picture shifted over the session. The Perene Index rose to 66.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state62/100
how to read?
Risk above the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoDecember 31, 2003
    Ibovespa that day22,445 pts
    what happened in 6 months21,670 pts (-3%)
    Reread the edition of December 31, 2003 →
  2. ○Five years agoApril 2000
    Ibovespa 15,524 → 14,891 pts (-4% in 6m) · reread →

In 14 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 43% of the time — median -3.7% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. February 28, 2015Perene 62 · neutral
  2. August 31, 2013Perene 62 · risk-on
  3. May 31, 2007Perene 62
  4. September 30, 2006Perene 62
  5. July 31, 2013Perene 62 · risk-on
  6. September 30, 2010Perene 62 · risk-on
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 23,052 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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