Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a neutral regime.

Edition no. 4,268 · March 31, 2017 · Regime neutro · for 31 days · reconstructed essentials

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The market returned to neutral ground. The session ended with the Perene at 54.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state54/100Today ▾ -17
Ânima · structuralthe market’s prevailing risk appetite36/100Today ▾ -17
how to read?
Risk below the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoMarch 31, 2016
    Ibovespa that day50,055 pts
    what happened in 6 months59,356 pts (+19%)
    Reread the edition of March 31, 2016 →
  2. ○Five years agoDecember 2011
    Ibovespa 59,265 → 55,394 pts (-6% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveMarch 2000
    Ibovespa 17,820 → 15,928 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 42 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 64% of the time — median +7% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. March 31, 2016Perene 54 · defensive
  2. December 31, 2015Perene 54 · defensive
  3. October 31, 2005Perene 54
  4. April 30, 2000Perene 54
  5. July 31, 2019Perene 54 · risk-on
  6. July 31, 2006Perene 54
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is neutral and the intermarket strong risk-on.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 64,984 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Edition no. 4,268 · Regime neutro · for 31 days · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Atlas →

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