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Brazil market regime

Edition of February 28, 2006 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The market pulled back to constructive ground. The day closes at 80, risk-on.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state75/100
how to read?
Risk above the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoFebruary 28, 2005
    Ibovespa that day28,139 pts
    what happened in 6 months27,095 pts (-4%)
    Reread the edition of February 28, 2005 →
  2. ○Five years agoApril 2001
    Ibovespa 14,918 → 11,365 pts (-24% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveMay 2000
    Ibovespa 14,957 → 13,287 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 15 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 53% of the time — median +3.2% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. February 28, 2005Perene 75
  2. March 31, 2011Perene 74 · risk-on
  3. December 31, 2013Perene 74 · risk-on
  4. May 31, 2008Perene 76
  5. March 31, 2012Perene 74 · risk-on
  6. June 30, 2009Perene 74
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 38,610 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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