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Brazil market regime

Edition no. 2,351 · June 30, 2009 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The market pulled back to constructive ground. Today, the Perene Index closed at 69.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state74/100
how to read?
The market on the neutral plain.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoMay 31, 2008
    Ibovespa that day71,897 pts
    what happened in 6 months36,213 pts (-50%)
    Reread the edition of May 31, 2008 →
  2. ○Five years agoJune 2004
    Ibovespa 21,149 → 25,722 pts (+22% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveJune 2000
    Ibovespa 16,728 → 16,599 pts (-1% in 6m) · reread →

In 26 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 73% of the time — median +6.6% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. December 31, 2013Perene 74 · risk-on
  2. March 31, 2012Perene 74 · risk-on
  3. March 31, 2025Perene 74 · defensive
  4. March 31, 2011Perene 74 · risk-on
  5. June 30, 2011Perene 73 · risk-on
  6. February 28, 2006Perene 75
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 51,465 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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