Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a risk-on regime.

Edition of March 31, 2012 · Regime risk_on · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The session put the Perene Index back at 74. On the sector side, utilities led.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state74/100
how to read?
Risk above the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoMarch 31, 2011
    Ibovespa that day68,587 pts
    the archive suggested-1% in 6m hist. median
    what happened in 6 months53,385 pts (-22%)
    Reread the edition of March 31, 2011 →
  2. ○Five years agoApril 2007
    Ibovespa 48,956 → 64,383 pts (+32% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveJune 2000
    Ibovespa 16,728 → 16,599 pts (-1% in 6m) · reread →

In 24 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 54% of the time — median +2.9% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. December 31, 2013Perene 74 · risk-on
  2. June 30, 2009Perene 74
  3. March 31, 2025Perene 74 · defensive
  4. March 31, 2011Perene 74 · risk-on
  5. June 30, 2011Perene 73 · risk-on
  6. February 28, 2006Perene 75
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is moderate risk-on and the intermarket strong risk-off.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Regime risk_on · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Every risk-on stretch in the Observatory →

all editions · Observatory