Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 1,816 · April 30, 2007 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

After several flat days, the day registered movement. The index reads 65 — neutral territory. In the session's detail, utilities lost relative ground.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state68/100
how to read?
Risk above the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. A year agoMarch 31, 2006
    Ibovespa that day37,952 pts
    what happened in 6 months37,058 pts (-2%)
    Reread the edition of March 31, 2006 →
  2. Five years agoJanuary 2002
    Ibovespa 12,721 → 9,470 pts (-26% in 6m) · reread →
  3. First time in the archiveAugust 2000
    Ibovespa 17,347 → 16,123 pts (-7% in 6m) · reread →

In 19 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 63% of the time — median +5% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. August 31, 2014Perene 68 · neutral
  2. October 31, 2007Perene 68
  3. October 31, 2025Perene 69 · defensive
  4. January 31, 2003Perene 68
  5. July 31, 2018Perene 67 · neutral
  6. February 28, 2009Perene 69
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 48,956 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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