Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 513 · January 31, 2002 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The index moved sideways through the day. The market ended with a Perene Index of 69.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state66/100
how to read?
Risk above the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoFebruary 28, 2001
    Ibovespa that day15,891 pts
    what happened in 6 months13,077 pts (-18%)
    Reread the edition of February 28, 2001 →
  2. ○First time in the archiveAugust 2000
    Ibovespa 17,347 → 16,123 pts (-7% in 6m) · reread →

In 5 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 20% of the time — median -5.2% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. June 30, 2007Perene 66
  2. April 30, 2001Perene 66
  3. September 30, 2004Perene 67
  4. January 31, 2007Perene 67
  5. November 30, 2023Perene 67 · neutral
  6. July 31, 2018Perene 67 · neutral
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 12,721 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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