Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a neutral regime.

Edition of August 31, 2014 · Regime neutro · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The Perene Index closed at 69.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state68/100Today ▾ -32
how to read?
History favored gains — without unanimity.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoAugust 31, 2013
    Ibovespa that day51,835 pts
    the archive suggested-9% in 6m hist. median
    what happened in 6 months46,244 pts (-11%)
    Reread the edition of August 31, 2013 →
  2. ○Five years agoJune 2009
    Ibovespa 51,465 → 70,240 pts (+37% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveAugust 2000
    Ibovespa 17,347 → 16,123 pts (-7% in 6m) · reread →

In 32 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 66% of the time — median +5.3% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. April 30, 2007Perene 68
  2. October 31, 2007Perene 68
  3. October 31, 2025Perene 69 · defensive
  4. January 31, 2003Perene 68
  5. July 31, 2018Perene 67 · neutral
  6. February 28, 2009Perene 69
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is moderate risk-off and the intermarket strong risk-on.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 61,288 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Regime neutro · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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