Brazil market regime

Edition no. 2,001 · January 31, 2008 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The continuity of recent days gave way to movement. The Perene Index settled at 30 by day's end. By asset class, utilities lost relative ground.

The Pulse

Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state30/100

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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

●A year agoAugust 31, 2006
Ibovespa that day36,232 pts
what happened in 6 months44,249 pts (+22%)
Reread the edition of August 31, 2006 →
○Five years agoJune 2003
Ibovespa 12,973 → 21,807 pts (+68% in 6m) · reread →
○First time in the archiveJanuary 2000
Ibovespa 16,388 → 16,290 pts (-1% in 6m) · reread →

In 21 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 62% of the time — median +2.8% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

Ibovespa: 59,490 pts

For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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