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Brazil market regime

Edition no. 885 · July 31, 2003 · reconstructed essentials

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The session put the Perene Index back at 38. In the sector breakdown, utilities lost relative ground.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state31/100
how to read?
Risk below the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoJuly 31, 2002
    Ibovespa that day9,763 pts
    what happened in 6 months10,751 pts (+10%)
    Reread the edition of July 31, 2002 →
  2. ○Five years agoJanuary 2000
    Ibovespa 16,388 → 16,290 pts (-1% in 6m) · reread →

In 10 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 50% of the time — median -0.6% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. July 31, 2012Perene 31 · risk-on
  2. February 28, 2025Perene 31 · defensive
  3. June 30, 2021Perene 31 · risk-on
  4. December 31, 2009Perene 30
  5. February 28, 2014Perene 32 · neutral
  6. March 31, 2018Perene 32 · risk-on
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 13,572 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Atlas →

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