Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 2,189 · October 30, 2008 · reconstructed essentials

The Perene Index rose to the high end of the scale, now at 99. The scene holds at an appetite extreme.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state99/100Today ▲ +98
how to read?
History favored gains — without unanimity.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●Five years agoAugust 31, 2003
    Ibovespa that day15,352 pts
    what happened in 6 months22,550 pts (+47%)
    Reread the edition of August 31, 2003 →
  2. ○First time in the archiveDecember 2000
    Ibovespa 15,425 → 14,048 pts (-9% in 6m) · reread →

In 20 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 65% of the time — median +3.5% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. May 31, 2009Perene 99
  2. May 31, 2011Perene 99 · risk-on
  3. January 31, 2001Perene 98
  4. December 31, 2000Perene 100
  5. June 30, 2020Perene 100 · risk-on
  6. March 31, 2022Perene 100 · defensive
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 37,449 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · See every extreme like this one in the Atlas →

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