Brazil market regime
Edition no. 181 · January 2, 2009 · reconstructed essentials
The Perene Index recovered ground and closed at 100.
Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.
- ●A year agoApril 30, 2008Ibovespa that day67,868 ptswhat happened in 6 months33,387 pts (-51%)Reread the edition of April 30, 2008 →
- ○Five years agoAugust 2003Ibovespa 15,352 → 22,550 pts (+47% in 6m) · reread →
- ○First time in the archiveDecember 2000Ibovespa 15,425 → 14,048 pts (-9% in 6m) · reread →
In 20 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 70% of the time — median +4.5% — not always upward. Explore the archive →
Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.
Observed distribution, not a forecast.
- Ibovespa: 40,244 pts
The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.
Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · See every extreme like this one in the Atlas →
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