Brazil market regime

Edition of January 31, 2009 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

It was a quiet day, with nothing new to record. The market ended with a Perene Index of 63.

The Pulse

Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state64/100

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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

●A year agoOctober 31, 2007
Ibovespa that day65,318 pts
what happened in 6 months70,503 pts (+8%)
Reread the edition of October 31, 2007 →
○Five years agoDecember 2003
Ibovespa 22,445 → 21,670 pts (-3% in 6m) · reread →
○First time in the archiveAugust 2000
Ibovespa 17,347 → 16,123 pts (-7% in 6m) · reread →

In 26 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 65% of the time — median +6.5% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

Ibovespa: 39,301 pts

For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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