Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 2,379 · August 10, 2009 · reconstructed essentials

The Perene Index rose to the high end of the scale, now at 99. The market remains at the top of the scale.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state99/100Today ▲ +99
how to read?
History favored gains — without unanimity.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoNovember 30, 2008
    Ibovespa that day34,741 pts
    what happened in 6 months53,630 pts (+54%)
    Reread the edition of November 30, 2008 →
  2. ○Five years agoJuly 2005
    Ibovespa 26,298 → 38,485 pts (+46% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveDecember 2000
    Ibovespa 15,425 → 14,048 pts (-9% in 6m) · reread →

In 22 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 73% of the time — median +7.3% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. May 31, 2009Perene 99
  2. May 31, 2011Perene 99 · risk-on
  3. January 31, 2001Perene 98
  4. December 31, 2000Perene 100
  5. June 30, 2020Perene 100 · risk-on
  6. March 31, 2022Perene 100 · defensive
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 56,830 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · See every extreme like this one in the Atlas →

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