Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a risk-on regime.

Edition of July 31, 2010 · Regime risk_on · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The Perene Index eased to 93.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state94/100
how to read?
History favored gains — without unanimity.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoJuly 31, 2009
    Ibovespa that day54,766 pts
    what happened in 6 months62,763 pts (+15%)
    Reread the edition of July 31, 2009 →
  2. ○Five years agoJuly 2005
    Ibovespa 26,298 → 38,485 pts (+46% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveMay 2000
    Ibovespa 14,957 → 13,287 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 24 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 71% of the time — median +7.2% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. March 31, 2021Perene 94 · risk-on
  2. May 31, 2021Perene 94 · broad risk-on
  3. November 30, 2013Perene 94 · risk-on
  4. June 30, 2018Perene 94 · neutral
  5. May 31, 2003Perene 94
  6. December 31, 2002Perene 94
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is neutral and the intermarket moderate risk-on.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 67,515 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Regime risk_on · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · See every extreme like this one in the Observatory →

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