Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a neutral regime.

Edition of June 30, 2018 · Regime neutro · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The market's mood improved. The day closes with the Perene Index at 92. By asset class, utilities lost relative ground.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state94/100Today ▲ +85
Ânima · structuralthe market’s prevailing risk appetite13/100Today ▾ -6
how to read?
The market on the neutral plain.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●Five years agoOctober 31, 2013
    Ibovespa that day54,256 pts
    the archive suggested-8% in 6m hist. median
    what happened in 6 months54,053 pts (+0%)
    Reread the edition of October 31, 2013 →
  2. ○First time in the archiveMay 2000
    Ibovespa 14,957 → 13,287 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 47 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 68% of the time — median +4.9% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. March 31, 2021Perene 94 · risk-on
  2. May 31, 2021Perene 94 · broad risk-on
  3. November 30, 2013Perene 94 · risk-on
  4. July 31, 2010Perene 94 · risk-on
  5. May 31, 2003Perene 94
  6. December 31, 2002Perene 94
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is moderate risk-off and the intermarket strong risk-on.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 72,763 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Regime neutro · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · See every extreme like this one in the Observatory →

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