Brazil market regime
Edition no. 249 · February 3, 2012 · reconstructed essentials
The Perene Index closed at 100. The backdrop remains at the top of the scale.
Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.
- ●A year agoMay 31, 2011Ibovespa that day64,620 ptsthe archive suggested-4% in 6m hist. medianwhat happened in 6 months56,875 pts (-12%)Reread the edition of May 31, 2011 →
- ○Five years agoDecember 2006Ibovespa 45,383 → 55,932 pts (+23% in 6m) · reread →
- ○First time in the archiveDecember 2000Ibovespa 15,425 → 14,048 pts (-9% in 6m) · reread →
In 29 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 69% of the time — median +7.3% — not always upward. Explore the archive →
Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.
Observed distribution, not a forecast.
- Ibovespa: 65,217 pts
The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.
Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · See every extreme like this one in the Atlas →
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