Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a risk-on regime.

Edition no. 4,350 · July 31, 2017 · Regime risk_on · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The continuity of recent days gave way to movement. The day's reading came in at 51.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state57/100Today ▾ -31
Ânima · structuralthe market’s prevailing risk appetite68/100Today ▲ +10
how to read?
Risk above the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoMay 31, 2016
    Ibovespa that day48,472 pts
    what happened in 6 months60,987 pts (+26%)
    Reread the edition of May 31, 2016 →
  2. ○Five years agoJune 2012
    Ibovespa 54,693 → 61,128 pts (+12% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveMarch 2000
    Ibovespa 17,820 → 15,928 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 39 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 59% of the time — median +7.3% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. September 30, 2012Perene 57 · risk-on
  2. September 30, 2017Perene 57 · neutral
  3. June 30, 2012Perene 57 · risk-on
  4. November 30, 2001Perene 58
  5. May 31, 2019Perene 56 · risk-on
  6. May 31, 2016Perene 58 · neutral
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is neutral and the intermarket moderate risk-on.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 65,920 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Edition no. 4,350 · Regime risk_on · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Every risk-on stretch in the Observatory →

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