Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a neutral regime.

Edition of September 30, 2017 · Regime neutro · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The market pulled back to neutral ground. The Perene Index marked 51 at the close.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state57/100Today ▾ -30
Ânima · structuralthe market’s prevailing risk appetite66/100Today ▲ +11
how to read?
The market on the neutral plain.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoMay 31, 2016
    Ibovespa that day48,472 pts
    what happened in 6 months60,987 pts (+26%)
    Reread the edition of May 31, 2016 →
  2. ○Five years agoSeptember 2012
    Ibovespa 59,571 → 55,401 pts (-7% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveMarch 2000
    Ibovespa 17,820 → 15,928 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 47 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 68% of the time — median +6.5% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. September 30, 2012Perene 57 · risk-on
  2. July 31, 2017Perene 57 · risk-on
  3. June 30, 2012Perene 57 · risk-on
  4. November 30, 2001Perene 58
  5. May 31, 2019Perene 56 · risk-on
  6. May 31, 2016Perene 58 · neutral
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is neutral and the intermarket moderate risk-on.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 74,294 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Regime neutro · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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