New · The Science wing — 105 essays on research, economics and method, applied to the market
Radar Perene Radar Perene
O que é · · PT·EN
Desde 2000

Brazil, observed — and remembered.

A living archive of Brazil’s markets.
What the Radar saw — and what came next.

Educational content from public sources — never a recommendation.
Live · full radar
Latest readings

The regime diary

The Radar publishes the day's regime daily. Each entry is brief, dated and verifiable — set within a historical series built over time.

See the full Diaries →

The present, in conversation with memory

What the Radar recorded — and what came next.

One house, three fronts

The Daily is the cover: each day’s regime reading, open to all, since 2000. The Observatory is the memory: the precedents of Brazil’s market, navigable by phenomenon. Research is the laboratory: the house’s own studies and commissioned research. The engine that produces all of it is the house’s intellectual property, licensable by module to institutions — in conversation, by invitation.

FAQ

How it works

How does Radar Perene compute Brazil’s macro regime?

The Radar condenses the Brazilian market into proprietary indices — the Perene Risk Index and ANIMA — and a regime reading that is a simple average of public series, all built on public data since 2000, with a declared, stable method. The detail lives in the Methodology.

How much does it cost and what.s included?

The Daily and the Observatory are public and free. There is no subscription for sale at the moment. The house’s own research and commissioned studies and the licensing of the engine to institutions are handled in conversation, by invitation.

Is this investment advice?

No. Under our P7 protocol the system is strictly descriptive — it reads regimes and anomalies from public sources and never recommends, predicts a price, or gives financial advice.

Does Radar Perene make forecasts?

No. Radar Perene does not predict a price or a point. It works with precedents, historical distributions and probabilities — describing what tended to follow similar environments, with the uncertainty band on display.

How do the studies work?

Each Library study answers one question: what historically happened next when ___? — risk-on/off extreme, extreme pessimism/optimism, strong/weak dollar, Selic hiking/cutting cycle. The answer is the IBOV’s empirical distribution over 3/6/12 months (median, % up, and the 50% and 80% bands).

Does the Radar learn?

Yes — through memory, self-evaluation and historical accumulation, not by rewriting the past. Past readings are confronted with the actual outcome 3/6/12 months later.

What are historical analogs?

Past episodes historically similar to today’s environment. Not a forecast — a distribution map: what happened next, with sample size and uncertainty shown.

What is the Study Library?

A collection of editorial objects built from conditional events — regimes, sentiment, liquidity and rates. Each is a citable study: the Radar has a study for that.