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Brazil market regime

Edition of March 31, 2001 · reconstructed essentials

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The session shifted the risk reading. Today, the Perene Index closed at 31.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state33/100
how to read?
Risk below the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoFebruary 29, 2000
    Ibovespa that day17,660 pts
    what happened in 6 months17,414 pts (-1%)
    Reread the edition of February 29, 2000 →
  2. ○First time in the archiveJanuary 2000
    Ibovespa 16,388 → 16,290 pts (-1% in 6m) · reread →

In 4 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 25% of the time — median -7.5% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. October 31, 2009Perene 33
  2. July 31, 2002Perene 33
  3. January 31, 2000Perene 33
  4. February 29, 2004Perene 33
  5. March 31, 2018Perene 32 · risk-on
  6. February 28, 2014Perene 32 · neutral
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 14,438 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Atlas →

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