Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 636 · July 31, 2002 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The Perene Index recovered ground and closed at 33.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state33/100
how to read?
Risk below the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoMarch 31, 2001
    Ibovespa that day13,981 pts
    what happened in 6 months10,233 pts (-27%)
    Reread the edition of March 31, 2001 →
  2. ○First time in the archiveJanuary 2000
    Ibovespa 16,388 → 16,290 pts (-1% in 6m) · reread →

In 7 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 29% of the time — median -4.4% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. October 31, 2009Perene 33
  2. March 31, 2001Perene 33
  3. January 31, 2000Perene 33
  4. February 29, 2004Perene 33
  5. March 31, 2018Perene 32 · risk-on
  6. February 28, 2014Perene 32 · neutral
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 9,763 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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