Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 1,179 · September 30, 2004 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The Perene Index closed at 70.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state67/100
how to read?
Risk above the territory's midline.
Advertisement
The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoDecember 31, 2003
    Ibovespa that day22,445 pts
    what happened in 6 months21,670 pts (-3%)
    Reread the edition of December 31, 2003 →
  2. ○Five years agoAugust 2000
    Ibovespa 17,347 → 16,123 pts (-7% in 6m) · reread →

In 13 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 46% of the time — median -1.3% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. January 31, 2007Perene 67
  2. November 30, 2023Perene 67 · neutral
  3. July 31, 2018Perene 67 · neutral
  4. January 31, 2003Perene 68
  5. June 30, 2007Perene 66
  6. August 31, 2014Perene 68 · neutral
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 23,245 pts
Advertisement
For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

all editions · Observatory